League One · 2022/23
2023-03-25 · 15:00
11.7055.3%
X3.7325.2%
24.8119.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
WWLDDDLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Accrington
DWLLLDDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.20
Against
4.90
11.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.20goals per match
Accrington conceded1.50
Matchup

Accrington attack

0.50goals per match
Exeter conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.90
11.60
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.10
Match total
4.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches391
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%57.0%+1.8 pp
Draw25.2%25.1%-0.1 pp
Away19.5%17.9%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.680.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
1-112.3%
2-012.0%
2-110.5%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.984.00
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=391.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%37.0%–54.3% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.6%–48.7% CI
Away FT14.6%9.5%–21.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.4%
Away36.6%