League One · 2022/23
2023-03-25 · 15:00
11.7055.3%
X3.7325.2%
24.8119.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Exeter
WWLDDDLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Accrington
DWLLLDDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.20
Against
4.90
11.60
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Exeter attack
1.20goals per matchAccrington conceded1.50Matchup
Accrington attack
0.50goals per matchExeter conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.90
11.60
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.10
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.50
Match total
24.20
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches391
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%57.0%+1.8 pp
Draw25.2%25.1%-0.1 pp
Away19.5%17.9%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS49.1%
Historical average
1.68–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.8%
1-112.3%
2-012.0%
2-110.5%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.98–4.00
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=391.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.530.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%37.0%–54.3% CI
Draw FT39.8%31.6%–48.7% CI
Away FT14.6%9.5%–21.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.4%
Away36.6%