League One · 2022/23
2023-03-21 · 19:45
14.8519.4%
X3.9124.0%
21.6656.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Accrington
LDDWLLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Plymouth
DDDWDDLWLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.30
Against
5.20
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Accrington attack
0.80goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.40Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.00goals per matchAccrington conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.20
9.70
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
25.20
Match total
22.40
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.00
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%20.8%+1.4 pp
Draw24.0%19.2%-4.8 pp
Away56.6%60.0%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS52.3%
Historical average
0.97–1.75
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-210.8%
0-110.8%
0-210.0%
1-39.2%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.94–5.94
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%11.7%–38.1% CI
Draw FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.9%
Away58.3%