League One · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
11.9348.8%
X3.4327.5%
23.9823.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Port Vale
WWWLLLDLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Burton
LLDLWLWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
1.90
Total goals
3.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Port Vale attack

0.80goals per match
Burton conceded2.30
Matchup

Burton attack

1.10goals per match
Port Vale conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
2.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.30
Match total
21.40

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.50
On target
3.70
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches591
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%51.4%+2.6 pp
Draw27.5%28.1%+0.6 pp
Away23.7%20.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.530.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-012.4%
2-111.5%
2-010.3%
0-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.06
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches186
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.7%32.0%–45.9% CI
Draw FT41.4%34.6%–48.6% CI
Away FT19.9%14.8%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away34.4%