League One · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
11.3569.5%
X4.9519.0%
28.1711.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
WLWWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Forest Green
LDLLDLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
5.90
10.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

2.10goals per match
Forest Green conceded1.90
Matchup

Forest Green attack

0.50goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.90
10.30
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.30
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.80
Match total
20.90

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.10
On target
2.50
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.5%77.4%+7.9 pp
Draw19.0%12.9%-6.1 pp
Away11.5%9.7%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

2.350.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
2-015.1%
1-012.9%
0-05.4%
4-05.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.873.48
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%50.0%–83.5% CI
Draw FT19.2%8.5%–37.9% CI
Away FT11.5%4.0%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.1%
Away19.2%