League One · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
11.4465.3%
X4.3821.5%
27.1313.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DWWWWWDWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Fleetwood Town
DDWLWLWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
0.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.90
Against
5.30
7.80
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

2.30goals per match
Fleetwood Town conceded1.10
Matchup

Fleetwood Town attack

1.10goals per match
Derby conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.30
7.80
Match total
8.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
20.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.20
On target
2.70
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%82.9%+17.6 pp
Draw21.5%9.2%-12.3 pp
Away13.2%7.9%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS38.2%

Historical average

2.140.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.7%
1-018.4%
2-111.8%
3-010.5%
1-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.423.42
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%55.1%–88.0% CI
Draw FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.8%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals29.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.5%
Away33.3%