League One · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
12.8433.1%
X3.1330.0%
22.5437.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cheltenham
WDWLLDDLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Exeter
LDLWWLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
20%
10%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
0.50
2H goals
1.60
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
8.30
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.30
Total goals
2.60
20%2/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cheltenham attack

0.50goals per match
Exeter conceded1.50
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.10goals per match
Cheltenham conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
8.30
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
17.60
Match total
19.90

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.80
4%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches466
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%33.7%+0.6 pp
Draw30.0%32.0%+2.0 pp
Away37.0%34.3%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.121.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-112.0%
0-011.8%
2-110.9%
1-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.85
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=466.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.9%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.8%20.9%–33.7% CI
Draw FT47.5%40.3%–54.8% CI
Away FT25.7%19.9%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.3%
Away50.3%