League One · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
12.5137.4%
X3.2029.4%
22.8333.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Accrington
LLDDWLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
LWLLWWLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Against
5.20
9.30
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Accrington attack
1.00goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded2.10Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.10goals per matchAccrington conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.20
9.30
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
25.40
Match total
20.40
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.30
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches576
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%33.9%-3.6 pp
Draw29.4%34.9%+5.5 pp
Away33.2%31.3%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.20–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.4%
1-010.1%
0-19.4%
0-08.9%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–4.68
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=575.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches185
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.5%20.7%–33.3% CI
Draw FT45.9%38.9%–53.1% CI
Away FT27.6%21.6%–34.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.1%
Away48.1%