League One · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 19:45
13.1330.0%
X3.3328.2%
22.2541.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Morecambe
DDWWWWDLWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Charlton
WDLLWWWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
7.40
Against
8.50
12.00
Total
12.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Morecambe attack
1.80goals per matchCharlton conceded1.30Matchup
Charlton attack
1.10goals per matchMorecambe conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
7.40
Corners against
8.50
12.00
Match total
12.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.30
Match total
22.50
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.90
On target
2.70
16%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches506
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.0%27.1%-2.9 pp
Draw28.2%23.7%-4.5 pp
Away41.8%49.2%+7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.04–1.48
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.8%
1-111.9%
1-210.5%
1-010.1%
0-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.66–5.23
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=506.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.1%21.7%–35.5% CI
Draw FT35.0%28.0%–42.7% CI
Away FT36.9%29.8%–44.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals15.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.9%
Away55.0%