League One · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
13.5726.3%
X3.4827.0%
22.0146.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oxford
DWDWLWLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Derby
DWDDDWWLLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.80
11.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.30goals per match
Derby conceded1.50
Matchup

Derby attack

1.40goals per match
Oxford conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.80
11.40
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.70
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
26.00
Match total
19.70

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.20
On target
5.10
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches176
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.3%25.0%-1.3 pp
Draw27.0%31.8%+4.8 pp
Away46.7%43.2%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.111.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-111.9%
1-210.8%
0-09.1%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.52
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=176.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.0%–32.5% CI
Draw FT47.1%34.1%–60.5% CI
Away FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.3%
Away54.9%