League One · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.1843.0%
X3.2429.0%
23.3528.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milton Keynes Dons
LLDLWDLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Cambridge
WLLLLLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
1.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
0.50goals per matchCambridge conceded2.10Matchup
Cambridge attack
0.50goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.60N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.50
Match total
21.20
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.50
On target
2.80
4%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches722
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%41.7%-1.3 pp
Draw29.0%32.8%+3.9 pp
Away28.0%25.5%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.28–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
1-013.4%
0-010.9%
2-08.7%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.22
Average total9.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=721.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.532.7%
Over 11.523.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches267
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%29.4%–40.7% CI
Draw FT44.6%38.7%–50.6% CI
Away FT20.6%16.2%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.9%
Away40.8%