League One · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.0845.2%
X3.2229.2%
23.6725.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Exeter
LWWLDDDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lincoln
WLLLLDWDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.90
Against
4.60
11.40
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Exeter attack
1.20goals per matchLincoln conceded1.00Matchup
Lincoln attack
0.70goals per matchExeter conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.60
11.40
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
19.60
Match total
20.70
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches366
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%39.9%-5.3 pp
Draw29.2%33.3%+4.1 pp
Away25.6%26.8%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS46.2%
Historical average
1.27–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
0-012.0%
1-011.5%
2-010.9%
0-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.11
Average total9.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.544.3%
Over 10.532.0%
Over 11.524.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.7%25.7%–40.5% CI
Draw FT45.3%37.6%–53.3% CI
Away FT22.0%16.1%–29.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals8.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.7%
Away43.3%