League One · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.0845.2%
X3.2229.2%
23.6725.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Exeter
LWWLDDDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lincoln
WLLLLDWDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.90
Against
4.60
11.40
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Exeter attack

1.20goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.00
Matchup

Lincoln attack

0.70goals per match
Exeter conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.60
11.40
Match total
7.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
19.60
Match total
20.70

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches366
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.2%39.9%-5.3 pp
Draw29.2%33.3%+4.1 pp
Away25.6%26.8%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

1.270.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-012.0%
1-011.5%
2-010.9%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.11
Average total9.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.544.3%
Over 10.532.0%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.7%25.7%–40.5% CI
Draw FT45.3%37.6%–53.3% CI
Away FT22.0%16.1%–29.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away43.3%