League One · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.0346.2%
X3.4627.1%
23.5126.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barnsley
LWWWWLWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Plymouth
DDDDWDDLWL
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.70
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barnsley attack
2.10goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.30Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.20goals per matchBarnsley conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.90
Match total
23.20
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.70
On target
3.90
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%42.9%-3.2 pp
Draw27.1%28.2%+1.1 pp
Away26.7%28.8%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.50–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-09.4%
0-18.8%
2-17.9%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–4.56
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.1%23.1%–40.5% CI
Draw FT38.7%30.0%–48.2% CI
Away FT30.2%22.3%–39.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.4%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.9%
Away51.9%