League One · 2022/23
2023-03-07 · 20:00
12.6036.1%
X3.4227.5%
22.5836.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
WWLWWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Derby
LDWDDDWWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
10.90
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

2.10goals per match
Derby conceded1.40
Matchup

Derby attack

1.30goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
10.90
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.30
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
20.40
Match total
20.30

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
6.10
On target
4.70
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches458
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%35.4%-0.8 pp
Draw27.5%26.0%-1.5 pp
Away36.4%38.6%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.311.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-210.3%
0-19.8%
1-09.6%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.85
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=458.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches139
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.4%29.8%–45.7% CI
Draw FT32.4%25.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT30.2%23.2%–38.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away54.0%