League One · 2022/23
2023-03-07 · 19:45
12.6235.8%
X2.9332.0%
22.9232.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cheltenham
LWDWLLDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lincoln
WWLLLLDWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
0.60
2H goals
0.70
50%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
5.40
8.20
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cheltenham attack
0.60goals per matchLincoln conceded1.00Matchup
Lincoln attack
0.80goals per matchCheltenham conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.40
8.20
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.50
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.90N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
17.70
Match total
20.30
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.20
4%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%34.9%-1.0 pp
Draw32.0%36.6%+4.5 pp
Away32.1%28.6%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.510.9%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.06–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.1%
1-012.6%
0-012.0%
0-110.3%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.35–4.28
Average total8.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.3%
Over 9.536.0%
Over 10.524.6%
Over 11.514.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.2%16.8%–38.4% CI
Draw FT45.9%34.0%–58.3% CI
Away FT27.9%18.2%–40.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.03
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.6%
2+ goals26.2%
3+ goals9.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.0%
Away41.0%