League One · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.9847.4%
X3.2928.5%
23.8924.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Port Vale
LWWWLLLDLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
DLWLLWWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.20
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Port Vale attack
0.90goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded2.00Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.10goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.30
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
21.20
Match total
19.20
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches429
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%49.0%+1.6 pp
Draw28.5%28.9%+0.4 pp
Away24.1%22.1%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.44–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.7%
1-112.8%
0-011.2%
2-111.0%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.57–4.08
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=429.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.2%29.0%–44.2% CI
Draw FT42.3%34.6%–50.3% CI
Away FT21.5%15.6%–28.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.8%
2+ goals30.9%
3+ goals13.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.7%
Away38.3%