League One · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.3072.2%
X5.3117.7%
29.2110.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ipswich
LWDDWWDWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Burton
DLLDLWLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
0.90
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.70
Against
6.60
11.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ipswich attack

1.90goals per match
Burton conceded2.00
Matchup

Burton attack

1.20goals per match
Ipswich conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.60
11.50
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.80
Match total
2.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
19.10
Match total
21.10

Shots

18.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.30
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches121
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.2%73.6%+1.4 pp
Draw17.7%17.4%-0.3 pp
Away10.2%9.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

2.170.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.4%
2-113.2%
2-09.9%
0-07.4%
3-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.323.21
Average total10.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=121.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.560.3%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.2%46.1%–75.9% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Away FT5.4%1.5%–17.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals35.1%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.3%
Away24.3%