League One · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.6257.9%
X3.7724.9%
25.4717.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Shrewsbury
WLDLLWWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.00
0.40
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.00
Against
6.30
8.30
Total
9.30
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Derby attack

2.50goals per match
Shrewsbury conceded0.70
Matchup

Shrewsbury attack

1.00goals per match
Derby conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.30
8.30
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.00
Match total
22.00

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.30
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches244
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%59.8%+1.9 pp
Draw24.9%23.4%-1.5 pp
Away17.2%16.8%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.740.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.0%
1-112.7%
2-111.5%
2-08.2%
0-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.67
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=244.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.9%36.9%–59.2% CI
Draw FT32.9%23.2%–44.3% CI
Away FT19.2%11.8%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away39.7%