League One · 2022/23
2023-02-28 · 19:45
12.2242.3%
X3.1130.2%
23.4227.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lincoln
DDDWDDDDWD
2W 8D 0L · 1.40 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
WDLWLLWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.90
10%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.60
0.80
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.50
Against
4.60
10.00
Total
7.70
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
1.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lincoln attack
0.80goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.90Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.20goals per matchLincoln conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.60
10.00
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
21.40
Match total
19.50
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
7%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches526
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%42.8%+0.5 pp
Draw30.2%33.3%+3.1 pp
Away27.5%24.0%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.29–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.1%
1-012.7%
0-011.4%
2-010.8%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–4.20
Average total9.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=526.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.541.3%
Over 10.529.1%
Over 11.521.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.6%27.6%–40.3% CI
Draw FT45.5%38.9%–52.2% CI
Away FT20.9%15.9%–26.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away42.7%