League One · 2022/23
2023-02-28 · 19:45
11.3569.8%
X4.8419.5%
28.7610.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DWDWWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Cheltenham
DWLWLLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.90
0.40
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.20
Against
6.30
9.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

2.30goals per match
Cheltenham conceded1.60
Matchup

Cheltenham attack

0.90goals per match
Derby conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.30
9.00
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
20.90
Match total
21.70

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
6.30
On target
2.40
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%64.7%-5.1 pp
Draw19.5%23.5%+4.1 pp
Away10.8%11.8%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

1.910.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.6%
2-010.3%
2-18.8%
2-28.8%
3-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.223.24
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away33.3%