League One · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
11.6357.6%
X3.7924.8%
25.3517.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bolton
WLDWDDWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Port Vale
WDLWLLWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.00
Against
4.10
9.10
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bolton attack
1.60goals per matchPort Vale conceded1.40Matchup
Port Vale attack
1.00goals per matchBolton conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.10
9.10
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
21.00
Match total
23.60
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.40
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%60.3%+2.6 pp
Draw24.8%22.0%-2.8 pp
Away17.6%17.7%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.74–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.0%
1-111.7%
2-110.6%
2-010.3%
3-16.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.03–3.75
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%40.5%–61.9% CI
Draw FT31.3%22.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT17.5%10.7%–27.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.3%
Away37.5%