League One · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
12.8433.1%
X3.2728.7%
22.4638.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Barnsley
WLLWWWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Derby
WLDWDDDWWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
9.50
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Barnsley attack
1.70goals per matchDerby conceded1.00Matchup
Derby attack
1.50goals per matchBarnsley conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
9.50
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.00
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.50
Match total
20.40
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.20
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches389
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%31.4%-1.7 pp
Draw28.7%27.5%-1.2 pp
Away38.2%41.1%+2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.9%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
1.14–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.1%
1-113.4%
2-110.3%
1-08.0%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–4.97
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=389.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.4%20.3%–35.9% CI
Draw FT36.3%28.4%–45.0% CI
Away FT36.3%28.4%–45.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.5%
Away57.3%