League One · 2021/22
2022-04-30 · 12:30
12.3839.6%
X3.4627.3%
22.8533.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bolton
WWWWWDLDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Fleetwood Town
LDLDLLLLWD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.70
Against
6.50
8.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bolton attack
2.30goals per matchFleetwood Town conceded1.80Matchup
Fleetwood Town attack
1.00goals per matchBolton conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.50
8.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.60
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.90
Match total
21.50
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches257
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.6%41.6%+2.0 pp
Draw27.3%27.2%-0.0 pp
Away33.1%31.1%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.52–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
2-110.1%
1-29.7%
2-08.9%
1-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.50
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.530.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.2%28.9%–50.6% CI
Draw FT32.4%22.9%–43.7% CI
Away FT28.4%19.4%–39.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.8%
2+ goals55.4%
3+ goals24.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.6%
Away59.5%