League One · 2021/22
2022-04-23 · 15:00
11.5461.1%
X4.1622.6%
25.7816.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milton Keynes Dons
WLWDWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Morecambe
DLLLLDLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
0.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.00
Against
6.30
8.60
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.40
2.30
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.50goals per matchMorecambe conceded2.40Matchup
Morecambe attack
0.90goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.30
8.60
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.50N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.30
Match total
18.00
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.00
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.1%58.4%-2.7 pp
Draw22.6%25.7%+3.1 pp
Away16.3%15.8%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.81–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
1-011.4%
2-010.4%
2-19.4%
0-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.45–3.81
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.537.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%31.4%–55.1% CI
Draw FT38.1%27.1%–50.4% CI
Away FT19.0%11.2%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals12.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.9%
Away46.0%