League One · 2021/22
2022-04-09 · 15:00
14.3721.5%
X3.4926.9%
21.8251.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AFC Wimbledon
DLDDLDDLLD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
WDWWWDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.70
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
3.90
9.90
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
2.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AFC Wimbledon attack
0.70goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded0.70Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.60goals per matchAFC Wimbledon conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.90
9.90
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
26.90
Match total
23.50
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.60
On target
5.20
6%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%25.0%+3.5 pp
Draw26.9%23.3%-3.6 pp
Away51.6%51.7%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
0.88–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.7%
1-211.7%
0-211.7%
0-011.7%
0-310.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.87–5.72
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Draw FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.1%
Away47.6%