League One · 2021/22
2022-04-02 · 15:00
12.7234.6%
X3.3727.9%
22.5137.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Morecambe
LDLWLWDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Burton
LDWWLLDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.70
Against
7.10
9.40
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
2.30
3.20
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Morecambe attack
1.30goals per matchBurton conceded2.30Matchup
Burton attack
1.20goals per matchMorecambe conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.10
9.40
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.20
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
19.20
Match total
21.60
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches353
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%31.2%-3.4 pp
Draw27.9%28.0%+0.1 pp
Away37.5%40.8%+3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS55.2%
Historical average
1.18–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.7%
0-111.6%
2-19.1%
1-28.2%
1-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–4.88
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%18.0%–33.6% CI
Draw FT38.8%30.4%–47.9% CI
Away FT36.2%28.0%–45.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals12.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.0%
Away57.8%