League One · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 12:00
11.8550.9%
X3.8024.8%
23.8624.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wigan
LLLLWDLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Swindon
LDLLWWLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.50
Against
4.90
10.90
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wigan attack
1.10goals per matchSwindon conceded2.00Matchup
Swindon attack
0.90goals per matchWigan conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.90
10.90
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.90
Match total
1.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
27.00
Match total
25.70
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.60
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%54.4%+3.5 pp
Draw24.8%28.2%+3.4 pp
Away24.4%17.5%-6.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS59.2%
Historical average
1.90–1.09
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
3-08.7%
2-18.7%
0-07.8%
3-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.68–4.16
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%25.5%–59.3% CI
Draw FT44.8%28.4%–62.5% CI
Away FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals24.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.1%
Away41.4%