League One · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 12:00
11.8550.9%
X3.8024.8%
23.8624.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wigan
LLLLWDLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Swindon
LDLLWWLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.50
Against
4.90
10.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Wigan attack

1.10goals per match
Swindon conceded2.00
Matchup

Swindon attack

0.90goals per match
Wigan conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.90
10.90
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
0.70N=10
2.90
Match total
1.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
27.00
Match total
25.70

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.60
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%54.4%+3.5 pp
Draw24.8%28.2%+3.4 pp
Away24.4%17.5%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.901.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
3-08.7%
2-18.7%
0-07.8%
3-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.16
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.4%25.5%–59.3% CI
Draw FT44.8%28.4%–62.5% CI
Away FT13.8%5.5%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.1%
Away41.4%