League One · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 12:00
11.6656.7%
X4.0223.4%
24.7419.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Oxford
LDDWLWLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Burton
WWWWWDDWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
0.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
10.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
0.40
2.60
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.60goals per match
Burton conceded0.40
Matchup

Burton attack

1.70goals per match
Oxford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
10.50
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.60
Match total
1.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.40
Match total
22.00

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.50
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%56.8%+0.1 pp
Draw23.4%20.0%-3.4 pp
Away19.9%23.2%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.921.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.7%
2-010.5%
2-29.5%
1-29.5%
1-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.773.85
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.534.7%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.9%
Away52.6%