League One · 2020/21
2021-05-04 · 19:00
12.0546.1%
X3.4727.2%
23.5326.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Charlton
LLLLWDWDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Lincoln
DWLDDLWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.50
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Charlton attack

1.20goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.20
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.40goals per match
Charlton conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
28.00
Match total
28.00

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.60
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.1%36.1%-10.0 pp
Draw27.2%27.9%+0.7 pp
Away26.7%36.1%+9.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.451.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-210.2%
0-110.2%
2-19.5%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.78
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.4%14.2%–38.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Away FT42.2%29.0%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.2%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals24.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away64.4%