League One · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:00
15.4017.4%
X3.7724.9%
21.6357.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Plymouth
DDWLWLWWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sunderland
LWDWWWDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.80
Against
3.90
10.00
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.10goals per matchSunderland conceded1.00Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.50goals per matchPlymouth conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.90
10.00
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
21.30
Match total
29.10
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.50
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.4%29.7%+12.3 pp
Draw24.9%18.9%-6.0 pp
Away57.7%51.4%-6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
1.22–1.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.2%
0-310.8%
1-010.8%
1-110.8%
0-210.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.84–5.22
Average total9.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.537.8%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.518.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away50.0%