League One · 2020/21
2021-05-01 · 15:00
12.4238.9%
X3.4427.4%
22.8033.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WLWWLLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Gillingham
WLDLWWDLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.20
Against
5.90
10.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.40goals per match
Gillingham conceded1.40
Matchup

Gillingham attack

1.50goals per match
Burton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.90
10.20
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.90
Match total
27.20

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%43.9%+4.9 pp
Draw27.4%22.4%-4.9 pp
Away33.7%33.7%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.331.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
1-111.2%
2-111.2%
1-29.2%
2-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.68
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT19.2%8.5%–37.9% CI
Away FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.5%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.4%
Away46.2%