League One · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 15:00
11.6457.3%
X3.9124.0%
25.0518.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milton Keynes Dons
LDWDLWWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Swindon
LLDLLWWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.20
Against
4.40
8.50
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milton Keynes Dons attack
1.40goals per matchSwindon conceded1.60Matchup
Swindon attack
0.90goals per matchMilton Keynes Dons conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.40
8.50
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.10
Match total
2.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
24.90
Match total
26.80
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%56.8%-0.6 pp
Draw24.0%20.7%-3.3 pp
Away18.6%22.5%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.74–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-012.6%
2-111.7%
1-09.9%
1-19.0%
0-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.12–3.98
Average total10.10
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Draw FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Away FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.4%
Away39.3%