League One · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 15:00
12.0146.8%
X3.3028.5%
23.8024.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gillingham
DWLLWWWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Northampton
LDDLLLDLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.80
Against
4.10
9.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gillingham attack
1.80goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.70Matchup
Northampton attack
0.60goals per matchGillingham conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.10
9.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
27.50
Match total
26.30
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches199
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%51.3%+4.5 pp
Draw28.5%26.1%-2.4 pp
Away24.7%22.6%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.47–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
1-013.1%
2-113.1%
0-08.0%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.57–4.04
Average total9.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=199.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.3%26.1%–50.0% CI
Draw FT37.3%26.1%–50.0% CI
Away FT25.4%16.1%–37.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.8%
Away42.4%