League One · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 19:00
12.8732.7%
X3.3428.1%
22.4039.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AFC Wimbledon
LWLLDDWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Oxford
WLWDDWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.80
Against
2.90
9.10
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AFC Wimbledon attack
1.20goals per matchOxford conceded1.40Matchup
Oxford attack
1.80goals per matchAFC Wimbledon conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
2.90
9.10
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.10
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
25.00
Match total
28.20
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.00
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%27.1%-5.6 pp
Draw28.1%31.8%+3.6 pp
Away39.1%41.1%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
1.12–1.49
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
1-011.2%
0-210.3%
1-28.4%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.67–5.16
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%15.6%–45.4% CI
Draw FT40.6%25.5%–57.7% CI
Away FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.8%
Away50.0%