League One · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 17:30
12.0346.2%
X3.4127.5%
23.5626.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oxford
WWLDDWLWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Gillingham
WDWLDLWWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
0.90
2H goals
1.00
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
10.30
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oxford attack
1.30goals per matchGillingham conceded1.30Matchup
Gillingham attack
1.50goals per matchOxford conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
10.30
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.50
Match total
29.00
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.30
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%46.1%-0.1 pp
Draw27.5%32.0%+4.5 pp
Away26.3%21.9%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS54.7%
Historical average
1.48–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.0%
1-016.4%
2-27.0%
2-16.3%
3-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.44–4.55
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.3%32.1%–61.3% CI
Draw FT36.6%23.6%–51.9% CI
Away FT17.1%8.5%–31.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.9%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals19.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.2%
Away43.9%