League One · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 17:30
12.1144.5%
X3.3228.3%
23.4527.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AFC Wimbledon
LLWLLDDWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Swindon
DLLDLLWWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.50
Against
4.30
8.80
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AFC Wimbledon attack
0.80goals per matchSwindon conceded1.40Matchup
Swindon attack
1.00goals per matchAFC Wimbledon conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.30
8.80
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
0.80N=10
1.80
Match total
1.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.30
Match total
27.10
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.10
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches287
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%40.8%-3.7 pp
Draw28.3%28.2%-0.1 pp
Away27.2%31.0%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS53.7%
Historical average
1.34–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
2-111.1%
0-110.8%
2-08.7%
0-08.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.45
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=287.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.3%22.1%–40.0% CI
Draw FT40.4%31.3%–50.3% CI
Away FT29.3%21.2%–38.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.5%
Away50.5%