League One · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 12:30
12.0246.5%
X3.4227.4%
23.6026.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
LLLWLWWLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Plymouth
WDWDLLLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.10
Against
6.20
10.20
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.20goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.40
Matchup

Plymouth attack

0.90goals per match
Burton conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.20
10.20
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
0.70N=10
3.10
Match total
2.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.30
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.30
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.5%35.3%-11.2 pp
Draw27.4%27.6%+0.1 pp
Away26.1%37.2%+11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.371.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-112.2%
1-09.6%
1-29.0%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.61
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.4%13.0%–35.9% CI
Draw FT32.7%21.2%–46.6% CI
Away FT44.9%31.9%–58.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away61.2%