League One · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 15:00
12.6735.2%
X3.0630.7%
22.7534.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
WDLLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bristol Rvs
LDLDLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.40
0.60
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.60
0.80
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
2.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
5.80
6.60
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.40
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
1.70
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
1.10goals per matchBristol Rvs conceded2.00Matchup
Bristol Rvs attack
0.40goals per matchNorthampton conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.80
6.60
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.20
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
29.50
Match total
25.70
Shots
9.20N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.10
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches181
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%35.4%+0.2 pp
Draw30.7%36.5%+5.8 pp
Away34.1%28.2%-6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.13–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.0%
1-015.5%
0-012.7%
0-110.5%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.82–4.38
Average total9.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=181.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.521.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.7%24.8%–46.2% CI
Draw FT47.2%36.1%–58.6% CI
Away FT18.1%10.9%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals9.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.6%
Away37.5%