League One · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 15:00
12.5137.4%
X3.2828.6%
22.7733.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crewe
WDWDDWDWLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Oxford
WWLWDDWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.90
Against
3.40
10.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.40goals per match
Oxford conceded1.50
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.70goals per match
Crewe conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.40
10.90
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.10
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
20.70
Match total
28.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.50
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches240
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%31.7%-5.8 pp
Draw28.6%35.8%+7.2 pp
Away33.9%32.5%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.211.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.6%
0-110.4%
0-09.6%
2-17.9%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.294.65
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=240.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.7%16.6%–35.1% CI
Draw FT48.1%37.6%–58.9% CI
Away FT27.2%18.7%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.4%
Away51.9%