League One · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 15:00
11.5660.0%
X3.7724.8%
26.2015.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hull
DWWDLLWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Northampton
LDLDDLLLDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
0.40
Conceded
1.30
10%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.30
Against
4.70
7.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
1.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hull attack

1.20goals per match
Northampton conceded1.30
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.60goals per match
Hull conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.70
7.70
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
28.60
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
2.80
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.0%64.1%+4.0 pp
Draw24.8%23.4%-1.4 pp
Away15.1%12.5%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

1.800.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.3%
1-110.9%
2-09.4%
2-19.4%
3-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.473.33
Average total8.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.542.2%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.520.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%51.8%–86.8% CI
Draw FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away22.7%