League One · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 15:00
12.0146.7%
X3.4627.1%
23.5826.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
LLLLWLWWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Swindon
LWDLLDLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.00
Against
4.30
10.40
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.10goals per match
Swindon conceded1.40
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.20goals per match
Burton conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.30
10.40
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.20
Match total
2.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
25.80
Match total
26.10

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.20
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches194
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%46.9%+0.2 pp
Draw27.1%27.3%+0.2 pp
Away26.2%25.8%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.460.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
2-110.8%
1-110.8%
0-110.3%
0-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.61
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=194.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.3%24.2%–46.0% CI
Draw FT35.7%25.5%–47.4% CI
Away FT30.0%20.5%–41.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away47.1%