League One · 2020/21
2021-03-23 · 19:00
13.7624.9%
X3.2528.9%
22.0346.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
LLWDLLDWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Oxford
DWWWLWDDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.70
Against
3.30
7.00
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.90goals per match
Oxford conceded1.30
Matchup

Oxford attack

1.90goals per match
Northampton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.30
7.00
Match total
7.50
20%2/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
29.40
Match total
27.50

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
2.70
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.9%33.3%+8.4 pp
Draw28.9%20.0%-8.9 pp
Away46.2%46.7%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.56.7%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.930.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-126.7%
1-120.0%
1-013.3%
1-213.3%
2-013.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.734.47
Average total8.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.533.3%
Over 9.533.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away53.3%