League One · 2020/21
2021-03-23 · 19:00
12.2940.9%
X3.1329.9%
23.2129.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burton
DLLLLWLWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Shrewsbury
WWWDLWDLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
10%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.50
1.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.60
Against
5.00
10.90
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
0.60
3.10
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burton attack
1.10goals per matchShrewsbury conceded0.60Matchup
Shrewsbury attack
1.00goals per matchBurton conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.00
10.90
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.50N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.00
Match total
25.20
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
3.70
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%48.6%+7.7 pp
Draw29.9%29.8%-0.1 pp
Away29.2%21.6%-7.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.514.9%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
1.34–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.8%
1-115.4%
2-110.1%
2-09.6%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.76–4.10
Average total8.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.5%
Over 9.536.1%
Over 10.527.9%
Over 11.519.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.9%34.3%–55.9% CI
Draw FT34.6%25.0%–45.7% CI
Away FT20.5%13.0%–30.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away37.2%