League One · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:00
12.8632.7%
X3.2528.8%
22.4338.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
WLLWDLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Crewe
DWDDLWLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.70
Against
4.40
7.30
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
1.00goals per matchCrewe conceded1.80Matchup
Crewe attack
1.10goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.40
7.30
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
28.30
Match total
26.20
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.00
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%29.0%-3.7 pp
Draw28.8%22.6%-6.2 pp
Away38.5%48.4%+9.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.04–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-120.2%
1-115.3%
1-09.7%
0-29.7%
2-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–5.19
Average total10.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Draw FT15.0%7.1%–29.1% CI
Away FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.5%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.5%
Away67.5%