League One · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:00
12.8632.7%
X3.2528.8%
22.4338.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
WLLWDLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Crewe
DWDDLWLLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.70
Against
4.40
7.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

1.00goals per match
Crewe conceded1.80
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.10goals per match
Northampton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.40
7.30
Match total
9.40
20%2/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
0.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
28.30
Match total
26.20

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.00
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%29.0%-3.7 pp
Draw28.8%22.6%-6.2 pp
Away38.5%48.4%+9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.041.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.2%
1-115.3%
1-09.7%
0-29.7%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.975.19
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Draw FT15.0%7.1%–29.1% CI
Away FT47.5%32.9%–62.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.5%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away67.5%