League One · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:00
12.6934.8%
X3.4327.3%
22.4737.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burton
WDLLLLWLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Milton Keynes Dons
LLWLWWWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
2.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.60
Against
4.00
10.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burton attack

1.40goals per match
Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.80
Matchup

Milton Keynes Dons attack

1.60goals per match
Burton conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.00
10.40
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.90
Match total
25.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%38.6%+3.8 pp
Draw27.3%27.1%-0.2 pp
Away37.9%34.3%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.441.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.7%
1-110.7%
0-28.6%
0-07.9%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.245.16
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.0%–48.4% CI
Draw FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Away FT28.6%17.2%–43.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away50.0%