League One · 2020/21
2021-03-16 · 19:00
12.0246.5%
X3.2728.7%
23.7924.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lincoln
LWDWLDDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Gillingham
WLLWDWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.30
10.90
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lincoln attack
1.70goals per matchGillingham conceded1.30Matchup
Gillingham attack
1.50goals per matchLincoln conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.30
10.90
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.70
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.40
Match total
28.20
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.5%43.5%-3.0 pp
Draw28.7%28.8%+0.1 pp
Away24.8%27.7%+2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
1.48–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
2-111.4%
1-09.8%
0-18.7%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.43–4.58
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%24.2%–47.6% CI
Draw FT38.3%27.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT26.7%17.1%–39.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals11.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away46.7%