League One · 2020/21
2021-03-16 · 19:00
12.0246.5%
X3.2728.7%
23.7924.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lincoln
LWDWLDDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Gillingham
WLLWDWLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.30
10.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.70goals per match
Gillingham conceded1.30
Matchup

Gillingham attack

1.50goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.30
10.90
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.70
Match total
2.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.40
Match total
28.20

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.40
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.5%43.5%-3.0 pp
Draw28.7%28.8%+0.1 pp
Away24.8%27.7%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.481.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
2-111.4%
1-09.8%
0-18.7%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.58
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%24.2%–47.6% CI
Draw FT38.3%27.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT26.7%17.1%–39.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away46.7%