League One · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 15:00
12.0545.8%
X3.3328.2%
23.6126.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crewe
WWWDWDDWDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Burton
LDDLLWWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.60
Against
4.50
10.90
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.90goals per match
Burton conceded1.20
Matchup

Burton attack

1.20goals per match
Crewe conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.50
10.90
Match total
7.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.80
Match total
2.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
21.70
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.60
On target
2.50
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%37.2%-8.6 pp
Draw28.2%32.7%+4.5 pp
Away26.0%30.1%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.481.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-110.6%
2-19.7%
0-08.0%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.85
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI
Away FT47.1%31.5%–63.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away61.8%