League One · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 13:00
12.9132.2%
X3.4127.5%
22.3340.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swindon
LDLLLWLWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Gillingham
LWLLWDWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.80
0.90
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.90
Against
5.80
10.60
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Swindon attack

1.00goals per match
Gillingham conceded1.40
Matchup

Gillingham attack

1.30goals per match
Swindon conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.80
10.60
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.60
Match total
2.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.50
Match total
27.60

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
2.40
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%29.8%-2.4 pp
Draw27.5%28.2%+0.7 pp
Away40.3%41.9%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.051.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
0-112.9%
1-011.3%
0-28.1%
1-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.025.29
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.6%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI
Draw FT31.7%19.6%–47.0% CI
Away FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals29.3%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away56.1%