League One · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
14.2222.2%
X3.4727.0%
21.8550.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Northampton
LWLLWDLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Portsmouth
WDLWWWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
5.10
7.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
2.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Northampton attack

0.60goals per match
Portsmouth conceded1.00
Matchup

Portsmouth attack

1.60goals per match
Northampton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.10
7.60
Match total
9.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.00
Match total
29.20

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
2.40
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%23.5%+1.3 pp
Draw27.0%19.6%-7.4 pp
Away50.7%56.9%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS37.3%

Historical average

0.821.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-219.6%
1-29.8%
1-09.8%
1-19.8%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.45
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away36.4%