League One · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
14.2222.2%
X3.4727.0%
21.8550.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Northampton
LWLLWDLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Portsmouth
WDLWWWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
10%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.20
Against
5.10
7.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Northampton attack
0.60goals per matchPortsmouth conceded1.00Matchup
Portsmouth attack
1.60goals per matchNorthampton conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.10
7.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.00
Match total
29.20
Shots
8.20N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
2.40
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%23.5%+1.3 pp
Draw27.0%19.6%-7.4 pp
Away50.7%56.9%+6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS37.3%
Historical average
0.82–1.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-219.6%
1-29.8%
1-09.8%
1-19.8%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.43–5.45
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.543.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.527.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Remaining goals
0.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals9.1%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home27.3%
Away36.4%