League One · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
12.2741.3%
X3.3228.2%
23.0830.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lincoln
WLLWDWLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crewe
LDWDDLWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
10.10
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lincoln attack
1.50goals per matchCrewe conceded1.60Matchup
Crewe attack
1.10goals per matchLincoln conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
10.10
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.30
Match total
25.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.10
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches249
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%46.6%+5.3 pp
Draw28.2%28.1%-0.1 pp
Away30.4%25.3%-5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS49.0%
Historical average
1.46–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.2%
1-111.2%
0-010.4%
2-110.0%
2-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.77–4.44
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.9%21.9%–41.6% CI
Draw FT46.9%36.4%–57.7% CI
Away FT22.2%14.5%–32.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away40.7%