League One · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
12.2741.3%
X3.3228.2%
23.0830.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lincoln
WLLWDWLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crewe
LDWDDLWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.60
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
10.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lincoln attack

1.50goals per match
Crewe conceded1.60
Matchup

Crewe attack

1.10goals per match
Lincoln conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
10.10
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.30
Match total
25.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.10
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches249
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%46.6%+5.3 pp
Draw28.2%28.1%-0.1 pp
Away30.4%25.3%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.461.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.2%
1-111.2%
0-010.4%
2-110.0%
2-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.44
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.9%21.9%–41.6% CI
Draw FT46.9%36.4%–57.7% CI
Away FT22.2%14.5%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.6%
Away40.7%