League One · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
11.7852.7%
X3.6126.0%
24.4021.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Accrington
WWDLWWDLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Swindon
WLLLWDLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.30
Against
4.30
12.20
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Accrington attack
1.30goals per matchSwindon conceded1.90Matchup
Swindon attack
1.20goals per matchAccrington conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.30
12.20
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.60
Match total
26.70
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.80
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%60.0%+7.3 pp
Draw26.0%23.3%-2.7 pp
Away21.3%16.7%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.69–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.6%
2-113.3%
2-013.3%
1-112.2%
1-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.19–4.06
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.5%35.2%–67.5% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals48.5%
3+ goals21.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away42.4%